The Liberal Party has also performed badly in Victorian state politics, losing six of the last seven state elections. Only two of those seats, Deakin and Menzies, are entirely suburban. With the contest in Victoria, currently Labor's strongest state, can Dunkley be viewed as representative of the national electorate? The 2022 federal election reduced the Liberal Party to just eight of 39 Victorian seats, since cut to seven seats by the Aston loss. However, there are arguments for and against whether Dunkley will be a good test of the national electoral mood. After the Liberal Party's historic loss at last April's Aston by-election, the opposition needs a good result in Dunkley to confirm recent improvement in opinion polls. It will also be a challenge for the Liberal Party and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.
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